Adam Dunn's Value: Why use a first to a third round pick on 1B when you can wait until the fourth?

Unless you have a shot at Albert Pujols, you should wait on first base. You do not need to draft Adrian Gonzalez, Prince Fielder, Ryan Howard, Miguel Cabrera, or Joey Votto. All of the first basemen I listed are currently going in the first three rounds of a standard 10 team league using ESPN's ADP.

Adam Dunn's average draft position is 37.7, making him a late fourth round pick. Playing for the Washington Nationals, who have a bad hitter's ballpark, Dunn was tied for second among first basemen for home runs with 38 home runs with Miguel Cabrera and only trailed Albert Pujols.

The main thing I am looking to get out of first base is power. All the other statistics are bonuses. When I see Adam Dunn, I see money in the bank, and you should too. From 2004 to 2010, Dunn hit at least 38 home runs and only had under 100 RBI in one season. He also had at least 79 runs over that stretch. Even if Dunn only hits .240, he is still a top caliber first basemen.

Playing in U.S. Cellular Field for the Chicago White Sox, Dunn is almost a lock for 40 home runs and has the potential to hit 50 home runs. Wait, does Adam Dunn have upside? Absolutely, YES! Not only is he an undervalued safe hitter to draft, but he also has the potential to be even better.

My projection for Dunn: 48 home runs, 110 RBI, .250 BA